Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046281 0.050349 0.054470 0.058950 0.063676 0.068506 0.073808
2025-06-29 0.039631 0.045568 0.051800 0.058805 0.066431 0.074456 0.083515
2025-07-06 0.035792 0.043189 0.051197 0.060450 0.070786 0.081918 0.094756
2025-07-13 0.031382 0.039679 0.048928 0.059894 0.072431 0.086215 0.102411
2025-07-20 0.028178 0.037192 0.047512 0.060028 0.074631 0.090968 0.110468
2025-07-27 0.025931 0.035589 0.046912 0.060924 0.077558 0.096447 0.119288
2025-08-03 0.024313 0.034580 0.046876 0.062365 0.081032 0.102502 0.128753
2025-08-10 0.021192 0.031456 0.044067 0.060283 0.080168 0.103369 0.132090
2025-08-17 0.019172 0.029575 0.042649 0.059765 0.081069 0.106229 0.137699
2025-08-24 0.017360 0.027827 0.041278 0.059195 0.081813 0.108832 0.142956
2025-08-31 0.016679 0.027542 0.041742 0.060907 0.085356 0.114811 0.152273
2025-09-07 0.015835 0.026966 0.041773 0.062024 0.088132 0.119850 0.160471
2025-09-14 0.014833 0.026129 0.041447 0.062694 0.090396 0.124348 0.168146
2025-09-21 0.013704 0.025034 0.040711 0.062783 0.091895 0.127898 0.174685
2025-09-28 0.013260 0.024917 0.041299 0.064624 0.095657 0.134291 0.184774
2025-10-05 0.012090 0.023619 0.040172 0.064101 0.096305 0.136756 0.189990
2025-10-12 0.011231 0.022741 0.039586 0.064271 0.097832 0.140313 0.196569
2025-10-19 0.010672 0.022294 0.039588 0.065223 0.100379 0.145168 0.204786
2025-10-26 0.010311 0.022140 0.040000 0.066740 0.103681 0.151004 0.214272
2025-11-02 0.008998 0.020311 0.037845 0.064562 0.101949 0.150305 0.215442
2025-11-09 0.008208 0.019306 0.036874 0.064022 0.102397 0.152403 0.220156
2025-11-16 0.007468 0.018328 0.035894 0.063424 0.102732 0.154329 0.224640
2025-11-23 0.007317 0.018401 0.036550 0.065219 0.106383 0.160636 0.234798